ARBOR-3 primary readout

Phase III · randomised 1:1 · 859 participants · data cut 31 Aug

Primary endpoint met

Primary endpoint

HR 0.6195% CI 0.49–0.76 · stratified log-rank p < 0.001

Adding arbolitinib to standard care reduced the risk of progression or death by 39 percent. Median progression-free survival was not reached in the treatment arm against 21.4 months in the control arm.

Progression-free survival

Kaplan-Meier, 36 months
0%25%50%75%100%
061218243036

Arbolitinib + standard care — 52.9% Standard care — 31.2%

Participants still at risk at each six-month interval
At risk061218243036
Treatment428401372339301268241
Control431388341294249206171

Enrollment

cumulative, 30 months
Randomised
859
Sites
74
Screen failure
18.2%
Withdrawn
41
Follow-up (median)
28.6 mo

Enrollment closed four months ahead of plan. The flattening after month twenty is the cap, not a recruitment failure.

Baseline

balance across arms
Baseline characteristics by arm
CharacteristicTreatment Control
Median age6463
Female46.0%45.5%
Stage III54.9%54.5%
ECOG 061.2%60.3%
Prior lines (median)11

Randomisation balanced the arms on every stratification factor, so the hazard ratio does not need adjusting to be read.

Subgroup analysis

hazard ratio with 95% confidence interval
Overall 859 0.61 (0.49–0.76)
Age < 65 412 0.58 (0.42–0.80)
Age >= 65 447 0.66 (0.48–0.91)
Male 466 0.63 (0.47–0.84)
Female 393 0.59 (0.43–0.81)
Stage II 388 0.71 (0.51–0.99)
Stage III 471 0.54 (0.39–0.75)
0.250.5124

Every interval sits left of 1.0, so no subgroup contradicts the overall result. Stage II is the widest and the closest to crossing; it is also the smallest stratum, which is the usual explanation.

Adverse events

treatment arm, by CTCAE grade
Adverse events in the treatment arm by grade
EventShare of participants G1G2 G3G4
Neutropenia 181161
Fatigue 34143—
Nausea 2992—
Rash 1661—
Neuropathy 1273—
Anaemia 14841

Grade 1Grade 2 Grade 3Grade 4

Grade 3 and 4 events are the right-hand end of each bar. Neutropenia is the only event where they exceed five percent, and it is managed by dose delay.

Clinical trial template. The trial, participants and results are simulated. Built with ux-ui-agent-skills by Thientan Soparat. All examples