Member Median 10th to 90th percentile Spread is the forecast, not noise: by day ten the members disagree by 7.2 degrees.
3.5 d
Past three and a half days the members disagree by more than two degrees, which is the point this product stops being a forecast and starts being a distribution.
Sustained 46 to 52 knots from the west, veering north-west overnight. Issued 05:40Z, in force to 22:00Z.
Significant wave height 4.2 m, period 11 s. Small craft should remain in harbour.
Visibility below 200 m expected between 02:00Z and 08:00Z as the airmass cools over the estuary.
A pennant is fifty knots, a full barb ten, a half barb five. The shaft points the way the wind is coming from, so the two amber stations are taking a westerly straight off the open water.
Rain Sleet Snow Frozen types only appear once the column cools, from day six.